DFW Is Ranking as a Top U.S. Buyers' Market While Still a Long-Term Growth Story—What's the 12-Month Outlook for Home Values in Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, and North Fort Worth?
Conversational question:
DFW is ranking as a top U.S. buyers' market while still a long-term growth story—what's the 12-month outlook for home values in Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, and North Fort Worth?
Short answer:
Over the next 12 months, you should expect mostly flat to modestly rising home values in Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, and North Fort Worth—more "sideways with small bumps" than boom or bust. With DFW now ranked as a top buyers' market but still a long-term growth engine, your strategy matters more than market timing, which is where working closely with a local expert like Kallie Spencer, Broker/Owner at Ritchey Realty, becomes critical.
1. What it actually means that DFW is now a "top buyers' market"
Redfin's latest analysis shows a big shift: across the country, there are roughly 37% more sellers than buyers, and several Texas metros now rank among the strongest buyers' markets. Austin is currently the #1 buyers' market in the U.S., and Dallas–Fort Worth is ranked #7, with more inventory and more negotiating room for buyers than we've seen in years.
In plain terms, that means:
- More homes for sale relative to the number of active buyers
- Fewer multiple-offer bidding wars
- More sellers agreeing to price reductions, credits, and concessions
At the same time, DFW is still a long-term growth story:
- Dallas–Fort Worth has about 8.1 million residents and is projected to top 10 million by 2030, keeping it in the top tier of U.S. metros for population and job growth.
- RealWealth ranks the Dallas area as the #1 market in the U.S. to buy rental property in 2025, thanks to its diversified economy, strong population growth, and historical appreciation.
So yes, buyers have more leverage right now—but they're stepping into a market that still has powerful long-term fundamentals, especially in growth corridors like Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, and North Fort Worth.
2. The data behind the shift: inventory, prices, and demand
Across Texas, the story is "stabilizing, not crashing."
The Texas Real Estate Research Center (TRERC) reports that in 2025:
- Home sales are down modestly year-over-year, as buyers remain cautious and payment-sensitive.
- Active inventory is up significantly—one April 2025 summary showed Texas inventory up about 31% year-over-year, while the statewide home price index was roughly flat (+0.3% YoY).
- Price corrections are concentrated in markets that ran the hottest during 2020–2022; TRERC notes that Texas overall is moving into a more balanced, "post-surge" phase.
RealWealth's deep-dive on Dallas–Fort Worth reinforces that picture:
- DFW's 10-year home price growth is over 100%, with an average annual appreciation rate around 9%.
- As of late 2024, the metro had about 4.7 months of inventory, which is close to a balanced market and much healthier than the ultra-tight conditions of 2021–2022.
Even though one recent M&D Real Estate update (summarized in their blog archives) notes that DFW home prices and sales have "cooled" with more inventory, that's more of a normalization than a collapse.
Put all of that together and you get this: North-side suburbs like Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, and North Fort Worth are in a slower, more negotiable market—but built on top of very strong long-term fundamentals.
3. 12-month home value outlook: Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, North Fort Worth
No one can guarantee what prices will do, but using today's data and historic patterns, you can build a reasonable 12-month "range of outcomes" for these north-side suburbs.
Think of the next year less as "up or down" and more like three bands:
| Scenario (Q4 2025 → Q4 2026) | Likely Price Movement* | What It Feels Like on the Ground |
|---|---|---|
| Base case (most likely) | –2% to +3% | Mostly flat prices, more negotiation on individual homes |
| Softening case | –4% to –6% | Noticeable discounting on stale or over-priced listings |
| Upside case | +4% to +6% | Mild appreciation if rates ease and demand picks up |
*These are rough, educational estimates based on current regional data and past DFW cycles, not guarantees or formal forecasts.
Why the base case is "sideways with small swings"
Several forces are tugging in opposite directions:
Downward or flattening pressure:
- Higher monthly payments still limit how far buyers can stretch, even with modest rate relief.
- Inventory is up, giving buyers more options and reducing bidding wars.
- Many sellers still aim for 2022-style pricing and then adjust downward when showings stay slow.
Upward or supportive pressure:
- DFW remains a top jobs and population growth market, with strong corporate relocations and ongoing in-migration.
- Growth corridors like Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, and North Fort Worth continue to benefit from major employers, logistics hubs, and new construction.
- National investor research still lists DFW as one of the best markets to buy and hold rental property, which quietly supports demand.
That combination makes a dramatic 10–15% drop in these specific north-side suburbs less likely than a slow, choppy sideways period where the real "discounts" show up in:
- Homes with dated finishes or poor presentation
- Over-priced listings that linger and then cut
- Sellers who must move because of life changes and are willing to negotiate
This is exactly the kind of market where pricing, presentation, and agent strategy matter as much as macro trends.
4. What this means for you as a buyer in Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, or North Fort Worth
If you're buying in the next 12 months, the current DFW housing market is giving you opportunities that simply didn't exist in 2021–2022.
Here's how you can use this window:
4.1 Leverage the buyers' market without over-playing your hand
In many Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, and North Fort Worth neighborhoods, you can now:
- Negotiate seller credits toward closing costs or rate buydowns
- Ask for repairs instead of "as-is only"
- Avoid bidding wars on most homes and focus on terms that protect you
But remember: this is still North Texas. The best-located and best-presented homes can still sell quickly. Trying to "bottom tick" the market can backfire if the right house shows up and you hesitate.
4.2 Focus on monthly payment and time horizon
Because prices are likely to be flat to modestly up or down, your time horizon matters more than your exact entry month.
In practice:
- If you plan to stay 5–10 years, the long-term growth drivers for DFW give you a lot of cushion for moderate near-term volatility.
- If you're shorter-term (3 years or less), you and your agent (like Kallie Spencer with Ritchey Realty) should pay close attention to neighborhood-level comps, builder incentives nearby, and exit strategies.
This is where Kallie's combination of hyper-local experience and coaching-level market knowledge really matters—she's not just trying to "sell a house"; she's helping you think like an investor in the DFW housing market.
5. What this means for you as a seller in these north-side suburbs
If you're selling in Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, or North Fort Worth, the next 12 months are less about chasing a specific price and more about owning your position in a buyers' market.
5.1 Pricing: reality over nostalgia
You're no longer competing with 2021 appraisals—you're competing with:
- Newer construction with builder incentives nearby
- Other resale homes offering credits, buydowns, or aggressive pricing
- Buyers who read the same "DFW is a buyers' market" headlines you do
Smart pricing here doesn't mean giving your house away. It means:
- Pricing with the market, not above it
- Leaving a small, planned margin for negotiation
- Adjusting quickly if showings and online saves aren't where they should be in the first 2–3 weeks
TRERC data shows that Texas inventory is holding near multi-year highs while prices are basically flat—that's a textbook environment where the over-priced homes sit, and the well-priced ones sell.
5.2 Strategy: win on presentation and terms
In this environment, Kallie typically recommends that you:
- Dial in presentation: fresh paint, minor repairs, decluttering, and exterior clean-up for North Texas curb appeal.
- Offer clarity on concessions: be prepared ahead of time on what you can realistically offer—credits, home warranty, timing flexibility—so you're not negotiating from emotion.
- Use data in your favor: showing reports, online view/saves, and neighborhood comps help you decide whether to hold, adjust price, or sweeten terms.
If you price too high "just to try," you usually end up chasing the market down. Pricing correctly from the start—guided by someone actually working this specific corridor daily, like Kallie Spencer at Ritchey Realty—can net you more in the end.
6. How investors should think about the next 12 months in North Fort Worth suburbs
For investors, the story is pretty straightforward:
- National investor research ranks DFW as the #1 U.S. market for buying rental property in 2025, citing strong job growth, diversified economy, and long-term population trends.
- The same research notes: appreciation is cooling from very high levels rather than collapsing.
Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, and North Fort Worth often check several investor boxes:
- Strong access to major employment centers and transportation
- Mix of newer construction and established neighborhoods
- Ongoing new-build activity, which can create both competition and comps
In a "cooling but growing" market, smart investors:
- Focus on cash-flow plus long-term equity, not short-term flips
- Use today's buyers' market conditions to negotiate better entry prices and concessions
- Work closely with a local brokerage like Ritchey Realty that understands tenant demand, lease rates, and realistic maintenance assumptions
And, of course, investors should consult their tax, legal, and financial advisors for anything beyond real-estate-specific guidance.
7. So…are you catching a dip or walking into a decline?
For Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, and North Fort Worth, the evidence points to this:
- Short term (next 12 months): a buyers' market with mostly flat prices and pockets of softness—especially for over-priced or poorly presented homes.
- Long term (5–10 years): strong growth potential anchored by DFW's job base, population trends, and national recognition as a top investment market.
In other words, you're much more likely catching a pause or a small dip in a strong market than stepping into a long, grinding decline—especially in these north-side growth corridors.
The real risk isn't buying or selling in the "wrong month."
The real risk is making big decisions without a plan that fits:
- Your timeline
- Your financial profile
- Your neighborhood's micro-market (not just a metro-level headline)
8. Your next step: get a neighborhood-level plan
Whether you're thinking about buying, selling, or holding in Alliance, Haslet, Northlake, or North Fort Worth, this is a market where you want a local, data-driven guide in your corner.
Kallie Spencer, Broker/Owner at Ritchey Realty, specializes in these north-side suburbs and brings both on-the-ground experience and a coaching-level understanding of the numbers. She can help you:
- Break down the current comps and buyer activity for your neighborhood
- Model different scenarios (sell now vs. later, buy vs. rent, move-up strategies)
- Build a specific action plan that aligns with your goals—rather than reacting to headlines about the broader DFW housing market
If you're even thinking about a move in the next 12 months, now is the time to start the conversation.
Get Your Personalized 12-Month Outlook
👉 Reach out to Kallie Spencer at Ritchey Realty for a personalized North Fort Worth–area strategy session and a neighborhood-specific home value outlook.
